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Deep Dive: Geopolitical Reconfiguration: The EU in a volatile new World: the challenge of global leadership

Deep Dive: Geopolitical Reconfiguration: The EU in a volatile new World: the challenge of global leadership

This deep dive is part of the Foresight towards the 2nd Strategic Plan of Horizon Europe project.


An increasingly volatile global geopolitical context is emerging with growing threats not only to global security and governance but also to the EU and neighbourhood countries. These conflicts, which can escalate and spread quickly across national borders, highlight the fact that the EU is becoming increasingly vulnerable due to its dependence on a volatile transatlantic relationship. No global institution or authority guarantees stable relationships as the United Nations is often in the position of a toothless tiger. Instead, there is a vacuum in global governance.


About this topic

The EU’s dependence on the transatlantic partnership and NATO is both a source of strength and weakness; the recent legislation period has shown an un-cooperative US President, an ambivalent US-China relationship, and the US in a position to dictate terms to the EU. All this takes place in an environment of major geopolitical upheaval and reconfigurations, with the rise of new regional powers, and the emergence of new actors, creating uncertainty about future coalitions. Growing political instability in the EU’s neighbourhood was made worse by the pandemic, and its economic and social effects represent another challenge to the EU’s global standing and security.

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The EU in a volatile new World-the challenge of global leadership_Report.pdf

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