STI for 2050

From October 2022 to March 2023, we ran a forecasting tournament with a total of 54questions. Almost all of our forecasting questions were developed in cooperation with 16different public institutions and ministerial departments. Each institution or department definedits most useful forecasting topics, participated in a workshop to define specific questions withus, and was later provided with the results. This was intended as a proof of concept of onepossible approach to incorporating forecasting in public decision-making.Once defined, our forecasting questions were then posted on a private Metaculus sub-domain(in Czech), where an average of 72 forecasters had the opportunity to address them as theywould any other question on Metaculus (median of 18 predictions per user). Throughout thetournament, we produced 16 reports detailing the rationales and forecasts, to be used by thecooperating institutions.A handful of our partners have already reported acting on the information/judgment presented inour reports. This has concerned, for example, the national foreclosure issue (some 6% of thetotal population have debts in arrears) where the debt relief process is being redesigned midststrong lobbying and insufficient personal capacities; or the probabilities of outlier scenarios forEuropean macroeconomic development, which was requested by the Slovak Ministry of Financeto help calibrate their existing judgements.It also seems useful to explore various approaches to grow the number of policymakers withpersonal experience & skills in forecasting. In our case, we found curiosity and willingness to tryforecasting even in unexpected institutional locations (i.e. the Czech R&I funding body). Thismakes us more confident that the “external forecasts” approach (as compared to buildinginternal prediction tournaments or focusing on advancing forecasting skills of public servants) isworth investigating further precisely because it allows us to detect and draw on this interestirrespective of institutional and seniority distinctions and resource constraints.While we hope that any readers with an interest in forecasting may find our experience useful,we expect that both this and any future projects of ours make it easier for other teams to worktowards similar goals. To that effect, the write-up also contains an Annex of “MethodologicalGuidelines,” where we outline in more explicit terms the questions and decisions that we foundwere important to tackle when running the project, and what they may entail.

The project explores futures of green skills and jobs and their supply and demand in Europe 2050. We are making a deep dive into developments which are currently underway and will take us to different possible 2030s, according to events largely unpredictable and decisions bound by a number of constraints of diverse nature. The project is one of eight foresight deep dives of the project 'European R&I foresight and public engagement for Horizon Europe' carried out by the Foresight on Demand consortium.

Welcome to "Global Futures of Climate”, the first Course in our series on Global Systems designed for individuals and organisations committed to facing global challenges and finding solutions.This self-paced, online Climate Education Course is scientifically-based, and incredibly well researched to give you a deep understanding of our emerging world, providing a solid basis for you to build your personal, professional, and family futures. The innovative solutions offered align with the UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). Course Content includes 12 Lessons across 3 Modules: Climate Change, Energy Systems, and Ecosystem. There are two lessons in each, examining the challenges, and addressing the alternatives. The Course Content incorporates over 100 learning resources, including:12 Lessons over 3 Modules: Climate Change, Energy Systems, Ecosystem.Four lessons per Module, two on the challenges, two addressing the solutions.12 Instructor videos (one per Lesson) to guide you through the Course Content and Resources .Over 40 expert videos (climate and ocean scientists, EC, UN, OECD, European Parliament, Carbon Brief, WWF, World Bank, Universities)Over 50 expert articles/reports (NASA, UN, IPCC, UNFCC, UNSDGs, State of the Planet, Blue Carbon Initiative, Greenpeace, Universities, UNDP, Global Commission for Adaptation, to name a few).36 reflection questions to journal your progress.60 fun quiz Qs to test knowledge gained.Certificate of Completion.

The project explores futures of science for policy; practices and processes by which information is exchanged between knowledge actors and policymakers with the intention to produce scientifically-informed policy in Europe. We are making a deep dive into developments which are currently underway and will take us to different possible 2030s, according to events largely unpredictable and decisions bound by a number of constraints of diverse nature. The project is one of eight foresight deep dives of the project 'European R&I foresight and public engagement for Horizon Europe' carried out by the Foresight on Demand consortium.