In a scenario process, the Bertelsmann Foundation collaborated with Fraunhofer ISI and experts from business, academia and politics to develop six scenarios for the world (dis)order in 2035, which differ in the number of power centres and the degree of stability. The project produced a scenario report and a policy brief for European policymakers.
The report presents the scenarios in detail using a STEEPL framework (Society, Technology, Economy, Ecology, Politics & Legislation). The scenarios' strategic implications for the EU are mapped by analysing risks, opportunities and identifying the EU’s optimal position. In addition, recommendations for measures to achieve this optimal position are developed. In order to prepare for different scenarios, the authors highlight the need for consistent, collective and immediate action in four fields. Finally, the report also contains a detailed description of the methodology used.
