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Planetary Foresight and Ethics

New Book

Summary

Core Themes
The book reimagines humanity’s future through planetary foresight, blending historical wisdom with planetary stewardship. It critiques linear Western progress narratives and advocates for a hybrid, cyclical vision of history, emphasizing pluralistic identities and reverence for life.

Structural Framework
Organized into thematic sections, the work begins with “The Mysterious Lord of Time,” challenging linear temporality and introducing non-linear, culturally diverse historical perspectives. “Evolving Belief Systems” contrasts Indo-Iranic, Mesopotamian, and Hellenic thought with Abrahamic traditions, highlighting ancient influences on modern pluralism.

Imagination and Futures
The “Histories of Imagination” section explores myth and storytelling as drivers of civilization, while “Scenarios of Future Worlds” applies foresight methodologies to geopolitical and technological evolution, emphasizing ecological consciousness. The final chapters expand to cosmic intelligence and ethics, framing humanity’s role within universal interconnectedness.

Ethical Vision
Central to the thesis is a call for planetary identity and stewardship, merging forgotten wisdom traditions with modern foresight to navigate ecological and technological uncertainties. The book positions itself as both a philosophical guide and practical framework for ethical transformation in an era of global crises.

Key Argument
Motti asserts that humanity is transitioning from a “Second Nomad Age” (characterized by fragmentation) toward a “Second Settlement Age” marked by planetary consciousness, requiring creative complexity and ethical vigilance.

Posted on: 23/04/2025

Last Edited: 13 days ago

MERYEM LAGHMARI1

Anthropologist & Foresight Researcher

Posted on: 12/04/2025

Last Edited: 21 days ago

Sveinung Sundfør Sivertsen1

Plural futures please!

Posted on: 03/04/2025

Last Edited: 22 days ago

ISINNOVA1

Institute of Studies for the Integration of Systems

Delivering solutions for a more sustainable future

ISINNOVA provides research services and strategic consultancy to public and private actors pursuing sustainable visions, solutions, and policies.

Five Pillars of Our Approach

1. Anticipate – Apply systems thinking and foresight methodologies to identify emerging challenges, reveal interdependencies, and inform proactive, future-resilient strategies.

2. Integrate – Connect disciplines, sectors, and knowledge systems to foster richer analysis and tackle complex challenges holistically.

3. Align – Ensure research, innovation, and governance processes reflect the values, priorities, and needs of society through ethical, participatory, and responsible approaches.

4. Co-create – Engage diverse stakeholders — researchers, policymakers, citizens, and industry — in collaborative processes to design solutions that are inclusive, relevant, and impactful.

5. Transform – Drive systemic change by translating shared knowledge and co-created solutions into sustainable, scalable actions, supported by continuous assessment to ensure applicability, effectiveness, and long-term value.

Track Record

  • 50+ years in the game (and counting).
  • Involved in over 130 research projects (ISINNOVA designs, develops, and manages sector-specific & cross-sector EU and global projects)
  • 15 staff members with multidisciplinary backgrounds (engineering, statistics, economics, politics, law, social sciences, computer science and media studies)

Posted on: 03/04/2025

Last Edited: 3 months ago

Effie Amanatidou1

Embrace yourselves, they are plenty!

Posted on: 24/01/2025

Last Edited: 3 months ago

Mission Area: Adaptation to Climate Change, Including Societal TransformationJuly 2021

Foresight on Demand Brief in Support of the Horizon Europe Mission Board

This final report summarises the results of the actions to support the Mission Board for “Adaptation to Climate Change, including Societal Transformation” with forward-looking evidence.

In accordance with the Request, the proposed services, approaches to be adopted, and the concrete nature and form of the outputs have been shaped and validated through close interaction with the Mission Board (MB) via the Mission Secretariat, run by relevant European Commission (EC) services, throughout the implementation of the action.

As a result of the interactions with the Mission Secretariat, the following actions were taken:

  1. Preparing a short paper Input to Mission Board on scoping activities & tasks
    (Deliverable 1)
  2. Analysing national and regional funding programmes of selected countries for
    projects on Climate Change Adaptation, and conducting interviews with selected
    Mission Board members in preparation of a foresight workshop.
  3. Preparing an input paper for the foresight workshop Input Document FoD CCA
    Workshop, 23 January 2020 (Deliverable 2).
  4. Holding a foresight workshop (23 January 2020) with Mission Board members,
    European Commission representatives (Mission Secretariat), and foresight experts,
    and summarising the results of the workshop. The workshop served to identify
    barriers and solutions, enablers and impacts of climate change adaptation in a variety
    of thematic fields, including health, water, food and agriculture.
  5. Developing and implementing a Delphi survey on assessing key aspects of the draft
    paper of the Mission Board. The survey addressed climate experts. They assessed
    future targets in thematic fields (e.g. financial risks, health, social infrastructure), and
    ranked related measures and R&I fields for importance.
  6. Preparing and analysing the results of the Delphi survey: Delphi Survey results,
    July/August 2020 (Deliverables 3 and 4).

The report is structured along these deliverables.

Posted on: 20/01/2025

Last Edited: 5 months ago

Insight Foresight Institute1

IF-Institute

Posted on: 25/11/2024

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Last Edited: a year ago

Futures of Civic Resilience in Europe – 2040

Scenarios and Policy Implications

Exploring alternative futures addressing radical changes in society can help better prepare for future crises and strengthen the resilience of civil society today. This post builds on the brief resulting from one of eight Deep Dive Foresight Studies in the project ‘European R&I Foresight and Public Engagement for Horizon Europe’ conducted by the Foresight on Demand’ consortium for the European Commission. During the autumn of 2023, the core group identified factors of change and organised two scenario and one policy implications workshops also engaging experts from academia, business, and public administration around Europe. We aimed to assist policy-makers by devising four possible future scenarios in 2040 and by considering their implications for today.

Posted on: 25/01/2024

Last Edited: 5 months ago

Fraunhofer ISI1

Fraunhofer Institute for Systems and Innovation Research ISI

Posted on: 20/11/2024

Last Edited: 5 months ago

Corina Murafa1

Posted on: 18/11/2024

Last Edited: 5 months ago

Max Priebe1

Posted on: 18/11/2024

Last Edited: 5 months ago

Unleashing the Potential for CompetitivenessJanuary 2024

Trends in the Western Balkans

Commissioned by the RCC, the DLR-PT study "Unleashing the Potential for Competitiveness: Trends in the Western Balkans". It presents trends that are likely to shape the region's competitiveness until 2035. It examines the potential impact on inclusive growth and provides examples that could be useful for the economies of the Western Balkans (WB). Based on desk research, expert interviews and an online trends workshop, the DLR-PT's Foresight team prepared the study in March and April 2023. It provides stakeholders with evidence-based insights to prepare for future developments and help formulate effective policy options and strategies. The study focuses on four key areas defined by the World Economic Forum's Global Competitiveness Report 2020: the enabling environment, human capital, markets and the innovation ecosystem. Through desk research, qualitative interviews and expert workshops, it identifies trends that provide a comprehensive view of the likely evolution of competitiveness over the next 12 years, enabling policymakers to anticipate future challenges. 

The study provides a methodological overview of Strategic Foresight and delves into the trends within the identified pillars, providing a summary of findings and recommendations for future action. By highlighting the trajectory of competitiveness and its implications, the study provides policymakers with valuable insights to effectively navigate the evolving landscape and foster sustainable growth in the Western Balkans.

Posted on: 10/11/2024

Last Edited: 6 months ago

Foresight for Social Innovation1December 2022 - March 2023

We implemented the ForSI (Foresight for Social Innovation) project with the Ministry of Labour and Social Affairs, with the Unit of Social Innovation. The aim of this collaboration was to identify so-called social time bombs - in our definition, problems that will be significant in the future or are already known today, but not yet sufficiently addressed by the state administration. 

The learning process itself was also a framing goal of this collaboration, where the unit team wanted to learn some foresight methods and implement them into certain processes of the department's work. The project involved desk research, two expert workshops, expert interviews, and also working closely with leading experts on social issues to develop a set of social issue cards. The final list of social time bombs was used by the unit to define calls for grant programs for nonprofits seeking to address diverse problems through social innovation. Foresight was thus used in this case to direct public funds more effectively, thereby addressing the problems that need to be focused on with an eye to the future.

https://www.ceskepriority.cz/foresight#co_je_foresight

Posted on: 26/10/2024

Last Edited: 6 months ago

Reimagining the Food System1June 2021 - November 2021

Scanning the horizon for emerging social innovations

Food systems require urgent and profound transformation to become sustainable, both in Europe and worldwide. Social innovation plays a pivotal role in transforming today’s food systems into ones that are economically and socially feasible, and sustainable within planetary boundaries.

The project Reimagining the Food System: scanning the horizon for emerging social innovations was conducted by the Foresight on Demand consortium between July - December 2021, on behalf of the European Environment Agency. It engaged in a systemic examination of emerging social innovations across the food chain, conducted using horizon scanning, a tool to detect early signs of potentially important developments. Thus, it offers insights into the experimentation taking place in alternative ways to produce, trade and consume food.

Project phases:

  • The horizon-scanning combined web mining with a filtering and validation process, using machine learning and human evaluation. The exercise identified over 240 weak (or early) signals from a variety of news articles, blogs and grey literature published in English between 2017 and 2021. The signals were aggregated into 24 closely related subsets, with each cluster hinting at a potential emerging issue (see image below);
  • Next, 21 representatives from civil society organisations, business, academia and government discussed these issues at a sense-making workshop in September 2021;
  • Following the workshop, 10 emerging issues were prioritised for characterisation. The characterisation was based on desk research and 11 semi-structured interviews with experts in the field. The 10 selected emerging issues include developments in new foods, products, services, and business and governance models. These issues have often been enabled by existing technologies and new forms of local partnerships, involving a variety of engaged stakeholders. They vary in their degree of maturity and novelty: some are relatively new developments, while others lend new perspectives to known subjects. Moreover, some provide new combinations of existing elements, while others are niche practices beginning to filter into the mainstream:

    1. Agroecology: a way of producing food and living, a science and a movement for change
    2. Soulful soil: alternative methods for nutrient and pest management
    3. The power of many: community-supported agriculture networks and initiatives
    4. Food-growing cities: urban farming, integrated food policies and citizen involvement
    5. Muscle-up: alternative protein sources for human consumption
    6. Knowledge is power: ensuring traceability and informing consumers
    7. Reclaiming retail: (re)connecting farmers with consumers and businesses
    8. Procurement strategies supporting sustainable agricultural and fishing practices
    9. Menu for change: restaurants feed appetite for sustainability
    10. The gift that keeps on giving: upcycled foods and food into energy

Read the European Environment Agency's briefing building on key findings of the project: Reimagining the food system through social innovations — European Environment Agency (europa.eu) 

Project lead
Client

Posted on: 19/10/2024

Last Edited: 6 months ago

Prospectiva1

Institutul de Prospectiva

Institutul de Prospectiva is a research organisation (NGO) with the mission to stimulate future-awareness aimed at addressing the challenges of contemporary societies. To this end, we implement tailored foresight exercises supporting strategic orientation in the public sector, with a focus on foresight for R&I policy at European and national level.

Prospectiva is part of the Foresight-on-Demand (FOD) consortium, tasked with advising the European Commission and fourteen other EU organisations on science and technology policy programming for a period of four years (April 2024 – March 2028).
This is an extension of the previous successful cooperation within the Foresight on Demand framework contract (2019-2023); during this period Prospectiva has contributed to numerous projects, on components related to horizon scanning, large scale Delphi consultations, scenario building, co-creation workshops, speculative design, and the elaboration of various briefs, in-depth case studies and reports. These projects addressed a range of themes, among which the future of food, of retail, of ecosystems’ flourishing, and even of the human condition.

Posted on: 14/10/2024