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    Last Edited: 8 days ago

    Rute Chaves1

    Posted on: 22/10/2026

    Last Edited: 24 days ago

    Ania Hildebrandt1

    Transition Designer

    Posted on: 09/09/2026

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    Last Edited: 5 months ago

    Thus Spoke Arta

    How Our Planet Is Entering a New Era

    We are living through a transition that feels, at once, like collapse and awakening. The crises surrounding us—ecological breakdown, technological acceleration, geopolitical fragmentation—are often treated as separate problems. But they are not. They are symptoms of a deeper rupture: a failure in how we perceive reality itself.


    This is the beginning of the “Big Shift.” Not merely a historical turning point, but a transformation in consciousness. The dominant frameworks through which humanity has understood itself—nation, progress, even “humanity” as a unified moral subject—are no longer sufficient. They fragment under pressure because they were never grounded in the deeper fabric of existence. They abstracted us from the Earth, from each other, and ultimately from being itself.


    Long before modern crises, ancient traditions understood something we have forgotten: the Earth is not an object. It is a living, sacred reality. Early liturgical texts and cosmologies did not separate matter from meaning. To speak of the Earth was already to speak of order, of balance, of participation in a larger whole. This was not “ecology” in the modern scientific sense—it was a lived metaphysics.


    What has been lost is not knowledge in the narrow sense, but a way of knowing. The modern world, in its pursuit of control and clarity, reduced reality to what can be measured, extracted, and optimized. Technology is not the root problem; it is an extension of this perception. We did not simply build machines—we built a worldview that sees the world as machine.


    And so we arrive at a strange paradox: we speak constantly of “saving humanity,” yet we do not even know what “humanity” means. It is an abstraction, a moral placeholder, often detached from real conditions and embedded inequalities. In trying to center humanity, we displaced the Earth. And in doing so, we undermined the very conditions that make human life possible.


    A different orientation is needed. Not a rejection of humanity, but a re-centering within a larger field of existence. To love the Earth is not a poetic gesture—it is an ethical necessity. It means recognizing that harm to ecosystems is not external damage but a form of self-destruction. It means reframing ethics from human-centered to Earth-centered, from domination to participation.


    This is where the future becomes most uncertain—and most significant. Artificial intelligence and emerging technologies are often framed in terms of capability and risk. But the deeper question is ontological: what kind of intelligence are we creating? If intelligence is participation, then ethical design requires more than safeguards—it requires alignment with the structures of reality itself.


    We stand, then, at a threshold. The path forward is not a return to the past, nor a blind leap into technological futurism. It is a synthesis—a planetary civilization that draws from ancient wisdom while engaging modern knowledge. A civilization that recognizes the plurality of perspectives without losing sight of underlying unity.


    This requires new forms of leadership, new frameworks of foresight, and a redefinition of progress. Not growth for its own sake, but alignment with the conditions that sustain life and meaning.


    Ultimately, the future is not something we predict. It is something we participate in. Every action, every perception, contributes to the unfolding of reality. The question is not whether change is coming—it is whether we are capable of aligning with it.


    To become planetary beings is not to transcend the Earth, but to belong to it fully. To act with awareness that we are not separate observers, but active participants in a living, dynamic cosmos.


    The shift has already begun. The only question is whether we recognize it—and whether we are willing to follow it to its conclusion.

    Posted on: 28/05/2026

    Last Edited: 2 months ago

    Clarice Kobayashi1

    ideas that shape the future

    Posted on: 26/05/2026

    Last Edited: 4 months ago

    Workshop 'Territorializing a food transition towards healthy diets and food justice by 2040'18 April - 18 April 2026

    A foresight citizen workshop on Territorializing food transition towards healthy diets and food justice, organised by INRAE and 14th Arrondissement Solidarity Food Bank

    Numerous foresight studies have highlighted the need for a dietary transition to achieve a sustainable and healthy future, by reducing the consumption of animal-based foods and ultra-processed foods and increasing that of pulses, fruit and vegetables. However, the path to achieving this remains unclear, as access to food and food inequalities continue to pose a barrier to healthy eating (which is generally more expensive than conventional diets). In France, local citizens’ groups have formed a network to facilitate access to food and foster solidarity among consumers. Beyond global foresight, a transition towards healthy and equitable diets depends on concrete changes at the local level. Densely populated urban areas are ideal places to work together with citizens to imagine future changes.
    This face-to-face workshop with citizens will focus on Territorializing food transition towards healthy diets and food justice by 2040. This workshop was co-designed with a local food organization, the 14th District Food Social Security (Paris).
    With a group of 30-40 participants, various long-term scenarios will be developed and discussed in group sessions. The workshop will draw on a scenario-based approach grounded in morphological analysis and will explore three aspects of the transition: nutrition and dietary practices, food justice and solidarity, and supply chains. The workshop will examine current trends, weak signals and ongoing changes, including cultural, environmental and social dimensions, as well as the economic organisation of the food chain. The method incorporates social issues related to food. The outcomes will enable participants to develop shared visions of a future food transition and to envisage the territorial organisation of a food system that could be developed to achieve a desirable future.
    The workshop is open to the general public. Everyone who wishes to contribute to the topic is welcome, drawing on the own experience of food of citizens and on the local actors of the food system.
    The workshop is part of a series of “Eye of Europe” pilot activities taking place during 2026, aimed at exploring possible futures and their implications for research and innovation (R&I) policy.

    Posted on: 22/05/2026

    Last Edited: 10 months ago

    Future Impacts1

    Future Impacts designs and implements foresight processes around questions on the
    future of organisations and corporations. We carry out foresight projects to identify options
    for future-oriented actions today. For this, we use or combine trend analysis, scenarios
    and Delphi surveys, among other approaches. Aside from our focus on the development
    and implementation of individualised foresight games, we also focus on foresight capacity
    building. We support our clients to expand their foresight capabilities and skills through
    training, toolkits and coaching.

    Posted on: 13/01/2026

    Last Edited: 10 months ago

    Thomas Arnold1

    System thinking to help understand and act on complex and uncomfortable sustainability challenges and their interrelatedness in planetary emergency

    Posted on: 04/07/2025

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    Last Edited: a year ago

    Imagination and metacognition in Futures & Foresight process

    The liminal dimension of anticipatory learning: imagination and metacognition in Futures & Foresight processes

    Imagination, in common discourse, is often relegated to a secondary domain of thought – a frivolous, playful, and unreliable mental activity confined to childhood, the arts, or, at best, applied creativity. A “magic box” that opens only when logical rigor relaxes, when attention drifts toward invention and fantasy. Yet this view, however seductive, is ultimately reductive – if not misleading.

    When examined through the lens of contemporary cognitive science, imagination instead reveals itself as a profound and complex cognitive function. Not only does it actively participate in processes of knowing, but it also constitutes one of their foundational dimensions. It is the mental faculty through which we construct alternative worlds, test hypothetical scenarios, and explore the unknown without needing to experience it directly. Far from being a mere appendage to rational thought, it serves as one of its key structural supports.

    Even more striking is what emerges from recent scientific research: imagination possesses a metacognitive character. This means it does not merely generate mental content that diverges from reality, but is also capable of reflecting on itself – monitoring and adjusting its own trajectories, becoming the object of awareness and intentional regulation. In other words, imagining is not just about conjuring what is absent from the world, but also about knowing one is imagining, directing that act toward specific goals, and assessing its quality, limitations, and implications.

    This represents a genuine epistemological shift – recasting imagination not as a passive or automatic process, but as a strategic ally of thought. Within this framework, imagination emerges as a faculty that weaves together multiple dimensions of our cognitive experience:

    • perception, which provides sensory input;
    • intuition, which enables rapid, non-linear associations;
    • intentionality, which channels imaginative effort toward a purpose;
    • and self-awareness, which allows us to revise and reinterpret what has been imagined, imbuing it with meaning and value.

    It is within this layered and dynamic space that imagination assumes a renewed role: no longer a retreat into the unreal, but a critical tool for probing the possible. It becomes the lens through which we may observe not only what is, but what could be – and, through this, reconfigure our relationship with the present.

    It enables us to anticipate without predicting, and to plan without constraining.

    In educational, professional, and social contexts – and even more so within the fields of Futures Thinking and Foresight – this reconceptualization of imagination as a metacognitive skill proves to be strategically essential. To anticipate the future is not to guess what will occur, but to cultivate a gaze that can recognize alternatives, navigate uncertainties, and imagine trajectories not yet in existence. Doing so requires more than creativity; it demands a deep literacy in conscious imagination.

    To rediscover imagination through a metacognitive lens is to restore its dignity as an epistemic, transformative, and educational faculty. A faculty not only capable of generating visions, but also of sustaining, interrogating, and refining them. A power to be reintegrated into our intellectual and civic formation – so that it may help us not only to imagine different worlds, but to understand the conditions that make them possible.

    Posted on: 09/06/2025

    Last Edited: 15 days ago

    Schaltzeit GmbH1

    Experiences for Forward Thinking

    We empower you to work with the futures. Our ideas show organizations how to deal with terms like weak signals, trends or white spots, and at the same time energizing to position themselves. We like discussing new developments and trends, with their respective effects on the organization, in order to design frameworks for actions and strenghten the matching future-attitude and accompanying measures.Schaltzeit has successfully provided consulting and operational services within the areas of foresight, ideation, experiences, software and design, to organizations in sectors such as telecommunication, automotive, biotechnology, software development, medicine, cosmetics and others.
    We ignite and accompany you on your way to success.
    Schaltzeit fills gaps, optimizes processes and forms the link between actors and processes in order to make results transparent and usable and sustainably establishes future-oriented thinking and acting.

    Posted on: 06/06/2025

    Last Edited: 4 months ago

    Max Priebe1

    STS and Political Sociology

    Posted on: 13/05/2025

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    Last Edited: 2 years ago

    Planetary Foresight and Ethics

    New Book

    Summary

    Core Themes
    The book reimagines humanity’s future through planetary foresight, blending historical wisdom with planetary stewardship. It critiques linear Western progress narratives and advocates for a hybrid, cyclical vision of history, emphasizing pluralistic identities and reverence for life.

    Structural Framework
    Organized into thematic sections, the work begins with “The Mysterious Lord of Time,” challenging linear temporality and introducing non-linear, culturally diverse historical perspectives. “Evolving Belief Systems” contrasts Indo-Iranic, Mesopotamian, and Hellenic thought with Abrahamic traditions, highlighting ancient influences on modern pluralism.

    Imagination and Futures
    The “Histories of Imagination” section explores myth and storytelling as drivers of civilization, while “Scenarios of Future Worlds” applies foresight methodologies to geopolitical and technological evolution, emphasizing ecological consciousness. The final chapters expand to cosmic intelligence and ethics, framing humanity’s role within universal interconnectedness.

    Ethical Vision
    Central to the thesis is a call for planetary identity and stewardship, merging forgotten wisdom traditions with modern foresight to navigate ecological and technological uncertainties. The book positions itself as both a philosophical guide and practical framework for ethical transformation in an era of global crises.

    Key Argument
    Motti asserts that humanity is transitioning from a “Second Nomad Age” (characterized by fragmentation) toward a “Second Settlement Age” marked by planetary consciousness, requiring creative complexity and ethical vigilance.

    Posted on: 23/04/2025

    Last Edited: a year ago

    MERYEM LAGHMARI1

    Anthropologist & Foresight Researcher

    Posted on: 12/04/2025

    Last Edited: a year ago

    Sveinung Sundfør Sivertsen1

    Plural futures please!

    Posted on: 03/04/2025

    Last Edited: a year ago

    ISINNOVA1

    Institute for Studies on the Integration of Systems

    Delivering solutions for a more sustainable future

    ISINNOVA provides research services and strategic consultancy to public and private actors pursuing sustainable visions, solutions, and policies.

    Five Pillars of Our Approach

    1. Anticipate – Apply systems thinking and foresight methodologies to identify emerging challenges, reveal interdependencies, and inform proactive, future-resilient strategies.

    2. Integrate – Connect disciplines, sectors, and knowledge systems to foster richer analysis and tackle complex challenges holistically.

    3. Align – Ensure research, innovation, and governance processes reflect the values, priorities, and needs of society through ethical, participatory, and responsible approaches.

    4. Co-create – Engage diverse stakeholders — researchers, policymakers, citizens, and industry — in collaborative processes to design solutions that are inclusive, relevant, and impactful.

    5. Transform – Drive systemic change by translating shared knowledge and co-created solutions into sustainable, scalable actions, supported by continuous assessment to ensure applicability, effectiveness, and long-term value.

    Track Record

    • 50+ years in the game (and counting).
    • Involved in over 130 research projects (ISINNOVA designs, develops, and manages sector-specific & cross-sector EU and global projects)
    • 15 staff members with multidisciplinary backgrounds (engineering, statistics, economics, politics, law, social sciences, computer science and media studies)

    Posted on: 03/04/2025

    Last Edited: a year ago

    Effie Amanatidou1

    Embrace yourselves, they are plenty!

    Posted on: 24/01/2025

    Last Edited: a year ago

    Mission Area: Adaptation to Climate Change, Including Societal TransformationJuly 2021

    Foresight on Demand Brief in Support of the Horizon Europe Mission Board

    This final report summarises the results of the actions to support the Mission Board for “Adaptation to Climate Change, including Societal Transformation” with forward-looking evidence.

    In accordance with the Request, the proposed services, approaches to be adopted, and the concrete nature and form of the outputs have been shaped and validated through close interaction with the Mission Board (MB) via the Mission Secretariat, run by relevant European Commission (EC) services, throughout the implementation of the action.

    As a result of the interactions with the Mission Secretariat, the following actions were taken:

    1. Preparing a short paper Input to Mission Board on scoping activities & tasks
      (Deliverable 1)
    2. Analysing national and regional funding programmes of selected countries for
      projects on Climate Change Adaptation, and conducting interviews with selected
      Mission Board members in preparation of a foresight workshop.
    3. Preparing an input paper for the foresight workshop Input Document FoD CCA
      Workshop, 23 January 2020 (Deliverable 2).
    4. Holding a foresight workshop (23 January 2020) with Mission Board members,
      European Commission representatives (Mission Secretariat), and foresight experts,
      and summarising the results of the workshop. The workshop served to identify
      barriers and solutions, enablers and impacts of climate change adaptation in a variety
      of thematic fields, including health, water, food and agriculture.
    5. Developing and implementing a Delphi survey on assessing key aspects of the draft
      paper of the Mission Board. The survey addressed climate experts. They assessed
      future targets in thematic fields (e.g. financial risks, health, social infrastructure), and
      ranked related measures and R&I fields for importance.
    6. Preparing and analysing the results of the Delphi survey: Delphi Survey results,
      July/August 2020 (Deliverables 3 and 4).

    The report is structured along these deliverables.

    Posted on: 20/01/2025

    Last Edited: a year ago

    Insight Foresight Institute1

    IF-Institute

    Insight Foresight Institute (IF-Institute) is an independent research and consultancy firm founded in Madrid (Spain) in 2015. We orchestrate expertise in entrepreneurial innovation ecosystems to spark and drive structural changes, enhance resilience and direct society towards social, economic and environmental sustainability.

    Our main sectors

    Education|Energy And Environment | Health And Social Care | ICT | Manufacturing | Research And Innovation | Services | Transport And Infrastructure

    Our solutions

    * Activation & Alignment – scaling up ecosystem activities
    * Insight & Foresight – assessing the past performance and exploring future developments
    * Strategy & Governance – providing direction and structures
    * Training & Mentoring – building capacities and capabilities
    * Programming & Implementation – turning visions into action

    Our partners

    We offer a platform for experts and organisations to come up with creative and viable solutions to complex problems. We work with business, policy, academia and other stakeholders.

    * We help established companies to position themselves in the wider ecosystem and work with stakeholders to empower their innovation activities.
    * We help startups to define their growth plans and work with other organisations to scale up their transformative business.
    * We help policymakers and their stakeholders to improve ecosystem performance and work together for transformative change. Our sectors

    Posted on: 25/11/2024

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    Last Edited: 2 years ago

    Futures of Civic Resilience in Europe – 2040

    Scenarios and Policy Implications

    Exploring alternative futures addressing radical changes in society can help better prepare for future crises and strengthen the resilience of civil society today. This post builds on the brief resulting from one of eight Deep Dive Foresight Studies in the project ‘European R&I Foresight and Public Engagement for Horizon Europe’ conducted by the Foresight on Demand’ consortium for the European Commission. During the autumn of 2023, the core group identified factors of change and organised two scenario and one policy implications workshops also engaging experts from academia, business, and public administration around Europe. We aimed to assist policy-makers by devising four possible future scenarios in 2040 and by considering their implications for today.

    Posted on: 25/11/2024

    Last Edited: a year ago

    Fraunhofer ISI1

    Fraunhofer Institute for Systems and Innovation Research ISI

    Posted on: 20/11/2024

    Last Edited: a year ago

    Unleashing the Potential for CompetitivenessJanuary 2024

    Trends in the Western Balkans

    Commissioned by the RCC, the DLR-PT study "Unleashing the Potential for Competitiveness: Trends in the Western Balkans". It presents trends that are likely to shape the region's competitiveness until 2035. It examines the potential impact on inclusive growth and provides examples that could be useful for the economies of the Western Balkans (WB). Based on desk research, expert interviews and an online trends workshop, the DLR-PT's Foresight team prepared the study in March and April 2023. It provides stakeholders with evidence-based insights to prepare for future developments and help formulate effective policy options and strategies. The study focuses on four key areas defined by the World Economic Forum's Global Competitiveness Report 2020: the enabling environment, human capital, markets and the innovation ecosystem. Through desk research, qualitative interviews and expert workshops, it identifies trends that provide a comprehensive view of the likely evolution of competitiveness over the next 12 years, enabling policymakers to anticipate future challenges. 

    The study provides a methodological overview of Strategic Foresight and delves into the trends within the identified pillars, providing a summary of findings and recommendations for future action. By highlighting the trajectory of competitiveness and its implications, the study provides policymakers with valuable insights to effectively navigate the evolving landscape and foster sustainable growth in the Western Balkans.

    Posted on: 10/11/2024

    Last Edited: a year ago

    Foresight for Social Innovation1December 2022 - March 2023

    We implemented the ForSI (Foresight for Social Innovation) project with the Ministry of Labour and Social Affairs, with the Unit of Social Innovation. The aim of this collaboration was to identify so-called social time bombs - in our definition, problems that will be significant in the future or are already known today, but not yet sufficiently addressed by the state administration. 

    The learning process itself was also a framing goal of this collaboration, where the unit team wanted to learn some foresight methods and implement them into certain processes of the department's work. The project involved desk research, two expert workshops, expert interviews, and also working closely with leading experts on social issues to develop a set of social issue cards. The final list of social time bombs was used by the unit to define calls for grant programs for nonprofits seeking to address diverse problems through social innovation. Foresight was thus used in this case to direct public funds more effectively, thereby addressing the problems that need to be focused on with an eye to the future.

    https://www.ceskepriority.cz/foresight#co_je_foresight

    Posted on: 26/10/2024

    Last Edited: 3 months ago

    Reimagining the Food System1June 2021 - November 2021

    Scanning the horizon for emerging social innovations

    Food systems require urgent and profound transformation to become sustainable, both in Europe and worldwide. Social innovation plays a pivotal role in transforming today’s food systems into ones that are economically and socially feasible, and sustainable within planetary boundaries.

    The project Reimagining the Food System: scanning the horizon for emerging social innovations was conducted by the Foresight on Demand consortium between July - December 2021, on behalf of the European Environment Agency. It engaged in a systemic examination of emerging social innovations across the food chain, conducted using horizon scanning, a tool to detect early signs of potentially important developments. Thus, it offers insights into the experimentation taking place in alternative ways to produce, trade and consume food.

    Project phases:

    • The horizon-scanning combined web mining with a filtering and validation process, using machine learning and human evaluation. The exercise identified over 240 weak (or early) signals from a variety of news articles, blogs and grey literature published in English between 2017 and 2021. The signals were aggregated into 24 closely related subsets, with each cluster hinting at a potential emerging issue (see image below);
    • Next, 21 representatives from civil society organisations, business, academia and government discussed these issues at a sense-making workshop in September 2021;
    • Following the workshop, 10 emerging issues were prioritised for characterisation. The characterisation was based on desk research and 11 semi-structured interviews with experts in the field. The 10 selected emerging issues include developments in new foods, products, services, and business and governance models. These issues have often been enabled by existing technologies and new forms of local partnerships, involving a variety of engaged stakeholders. They vary in their degree of maturity and novelty: some are relatively new developments, while others lend new perspectives to known subjects. Moreover, some provide new combinations of existing elements, while others are niche practices beginning to filter into the mainstream:

      1. Agroecology: a way of producing food and living, a science and a movement for change
      2. Soulful soil: alternative methods for nutrient and pest management
      3. The power of many: community-supported agriculture networks and initiatives
      4. Food-growing cities: urban farming, integrated food policies and citizen involvement
      5. Muscle-up: alternative protein sources for human consumption
      6. Knowledge is power: ensuring traceability and informing consumers
      7. Reclaiming retail: (re)connecting farmers with consumers and businesses
      8. Procurement strategies supporting sustainable agricultural and fishing practices
      9. Menu for change: restaurants feed appetite for sustainability
      10. The gift that keeps on giving: upcycled foods and food into energy

    Read the European Environment Agency's briefing building on key findings of the project: Reimagining the food system through social innovations — European Environment Agency (europa.eu) 

    Posted on: 19/10/2024

    Last Edited: a year ago

    Prospectiva1

    Institutul de Prospectiva

    Institutul de Prospectiva is a research organisation (NGO) with the mission to stimulate future-awareness aimed at addressing the challenges of contemporary societies. To this end, we implement tailored foresight exercises supporting strategic orientation in the public sector, with a focus on foresight for R&I policy at European and national level.

    Prospectiva is part of the Foresight-on-Demand (FOD) consortium, tasked with advising the European Commission and fourteen other EU organisations on science and technology policy programming for a period of four years (April 2024 – March 2028).
    This is an extension of the previous successful cooperation within the Foresight on Demand framework contract (2019-2023); during this period Prospectiva has contributed to numerous projects, on components related to horizon scanning, large scale Delphi consultations, scenario building, co-creation workshops, speculative design, and the elaboration of various briefs, in-depth case studies and reports. These projects addressed a range of themes, among which the future of food, of retail, of ecosystems’ flourishing, and even of the human condition.

    Posted on: 14/10/2024