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    Future Infectious Disease Threats to Europe1May 2021 - March 2025

    A Foresight Approach

    This study examinated the medium-term time-horizon (3-8 years) of the emerging infectious diseases (EID) threat spectrum in a manner that draws in multiple streams of contemporary and relevant research into activities focused on the development of plausible scenarios and prevention and control policy options for future infectious disease mitigation. This project drew on expertise from the ECDC and a diverse network of specialists from public health systems, biomedical R&I fields, and infectious disease research to identify and address current gaps in the ECDC’s preparedness for future EID threats. This process used an array of foresight methods and activities to help build strategies to create a robust and resilient system for the detection, identification, and responsiveness to potential future EID events. This system also included capacity building for continuous future-oriented research and monitoring activities as part of an integrated foresight capacity for the ECDC.

    Posted on: 26/10/2026

    Last Edited: 7 days ago

    Filomena Sobral1

    Associate Professor, Polytechnic University of Viseu, Department of Communication and Arts.

    Posted on: 23/10/2026

    Last Edited: 23 days ago

    Future Extremist Landscape in Nordic CountriesAugust 2026

    Challenges and Resources

    Violent radicalisation and extremism are constantly evolving phenomena, significantly shaped by developments in the wider society in which they emerge. In recent years, this evolution has accelerated considerably. We are witnessing a shift from radicalisation centred primarily around ideologies towards increasingly diverse and hybridised forms of individualised radicalisation, in which ideological boundaries have become increasingly blurred. These developments are strongly influenced, on the one hand, by global conflicts and, on the other, by locally experienced grievances and perceived injustices—often simultaneously.

    This transformation has created new conditions for the emergence and spread of extremist ideas, while making it increasingly difficult to identify individuals at risk of radicalisation, as well as the issues and narratives that may rapidly and sometimes unexpectedly encourage or inspire engagement in violent extremist activity. This evolving landscape presents a significant challenge to the prevention of violent extremism and further underlines the importance of foresight.

    Posted on: 07/10/2026

    Last Edited: 23 days ago

    Mapping the Future Extremist Landscape in Nordic CountriesAugust 2026

    Challenges and Resources

    Violent radicalisation and extremism are constantly evolving phenomena, significantly shaped by developments in the wider society in which they emerge. In recent years, this evolution has accelerated considerably. We are witnessing a shift from radicalisation centred primarily around ideologies towards increasingly diverse and hybridised forms of individualised radicalisation, in which ideological boundaries have become increasingly blurred. These developments are strongly influenced, on the one hand, by global conflicts and, on the other, by locally experienced grievances and perceived injustices—often simultaneously.

    This transformation has created new conditions for the emergence and spread of extremist ideas, while making it increasingly difficult to identify individuals at risk of radicalisation, as well as the issues and narratives that may rapidly and sometimes unexpectedly encourage or inspire engagement in violent extremist activity. This evolving landscape presents a significant challenge to the prevention of violent extremism and further underlines the importance of foresight.

    Posted on: 07/10/2026

    Last Edited: 22 days ago

    Nordic Foresight Project1April 2025 - November 2025

    The EU Knowledge Hub on Prevention of Radicalisation’s first strategic foresight study, commissioned by Denmark, Finland, Sweden, and Norway, examines evolving regional threats, ranging from declining public trust to exclusionary rhetoric. By applying scenario planning, this foundational report provides policymakers and practitioners with actionable tools to strengthen democratic resilience and cross-border prevention strategies.

    Posted on: 07/10/2026

    Last Edited: a month ago

    Sibilla Studio1

    Futures Sensemaking Collective

    Posted on: 30/09/2026

    Last Edited: a month ago

    SF4Sport1November 2025 - October 2028

    Shaping sport’s future through foresight.

    A European alliance connecting research, strategic foresight and education for AI in sport. Coordinated by Collective Innovation AS under Erasmus+. See more at https://sf4sport.com/

    What will artificial intelligence require of people working in sport over the next five to ten years? Which opportunities should education prepare them for, and which challenges need attention now?

    SF4Sport brings these questions to clubs and federations, technology businesses, educators and policy stakeholders. Their experience informs a structured foresight exercise across performance, fan engagement and sport management.

    The project connects that evidence with future scenarios, cluster roadmaps and practical education. The aim is to help students and professionals develop the capabilities needed for a changing sport sector.

    1) Strategic Foresigt

    Research and scenario development help the sport sector explore opportunities, uncertainties and future skills needs.
    - 164 stakeholder interviews planned
    - Three thematic research clusters
    - Cluster roadmaps with a five to ten year horizon

    2) Education and Practice

    Research findings and roadmaps will inform learning for higher education, vocational training and sport professionals.
    - Four student courses planned
    - Three professional development courses planned
    - Course pilots targeting more than 200 learners

    3) European Collaboration

    Universities, sport organisations, training providers and technology partners work together across national and disciplinary boundaries.
    - 17 organisations across 12 countries
    - Collaborative workshops and hackathons
    - Public communication and knowledge sharing

    Posted on: 30/09/2026

    Last Edited: 3 months ago

    Threats from new and emerging plant pests - Options for EU management of pest outbreaks1August 2025 - May 2026

    New and emerging plant pests can undermine EU food security and farm/forestry incomes through yield losses, trade disruption and costly control measures, while also causing major environmental impacts through biodiversity loss, landscape change and increased pressure to use pesticides.  

    Using a comprehensive foresight methodology, this study examines how global trade and tourism, climate change and agricultural systems contribute to the introduction and spread of new and emerging plant pests, assesses current and future pest risks, as well as scientific and technological options for their prevention, detection, and management, and reviews existing EU mechanisms.  

    The study develops four scenarios up to 2050 to explore how key uncertainties may shape pest risks and system responses. Based on these insights, it identifies policy options to strengthen prevention, preparedness, and response capacities, supporting future EU policymaking.

    This foresight study was conducted by Technopolis Group with experts from the Julius Kühn-Institute for the European Parliament's Panel for the Future of Science and Technology and commissioned by Scientific Foresight Unit (STOA) of the European Parliamentary Research Service. 

    The report is published on the website of the European Parliament: https://www.europarl.europa.eu/thinktank/en/document/EPRS_STU(2026)788146.

    Posted on: 31/07/2026

    Last Edited: 3 months ago

    John Fernández1

    Futurist, digital communicator, and technological trend analyst.

    Posted on: 31/07/2026

    Last Edited: 4 months ago

    Adina-Iuliana Deacu1

    Environmental Psychologist and Social Entrepreneur building alternative futures through actions today | 80% practitioner, 20% mentor

    Posted on: 18/06/2026

    Last Edited: 6 months ago

    FoD Futures of AI1November 2024 - February 2026

    The study “Futures of AI: Implications for Europe’s R&I Ecosystem and EU Policy” explores
    plausible trajectories of artificial intelligence (AI) development and assesses their implications
    for Europe’s research and innovation ecosystem. It aims to inform EU R&I policy and contribute
    to the development of an AI, recognising AI as a technology with transformative potential across
    sectors and long-term structural consequences for investment, governance and strategic
    direction.

    Key Findings 

    • AI development is characterised by uncertainty, path dependencies and competing trajectories
      rather than a single predictable pathway.  
    • AI adoption in the EU remains uneven and relatively low, with higher uptake in digitally mature
      and data-intensive sectors such as ICT and professional services; sectors like manufacturing
      and construction lag behind. Where AI is deployed, it is primarily used in supportive roles rather
      than as a transformative force reshaping core business models. 
    • Future adoption trajectories diverge across sectoral profiles, ranging from deep integration in
      innovation-led sectors to incremental optimisation in operational sectors and largely
      supplementary use in service-oriented sectors. 
    • Several structural barriers constrain broader diffusion, including market fragmentation, the
      dominance of SMEs with limited resources, insufficient access to high-quality and interoperable
      data and shortages of skilled professionals, while investment levels remain fragmented and
      comparatively modest. On the other side, ethical, security and trust concerns continue to shape
      adoption decisions.  
    • The EU’s regulatory leadership, particularly through the AI Act, creates both opportunities for
      trust-building and risks of administrative burden if implementation is not carefully managed.  

    Posted on: 23/04/2026

    Last Edited: 7 months ago

    Eva-Maria Pusch1

    Industry Hubs of the Future are the new Silicon Valleys!

    Posted on: 22/03/2026

    Last Edited: 7 months ago

    Exploring Demographic Change for a Future-Oriented EU R&I SystemNovember 2025

    Presentation of a foresight study

    Europe’s Research and Innovation (R&I) system is entering a period of profound change. Demographic decline, rapid technological shifts, and constrained funding are beginning to alter student intake, the graduate pipeline, and research career prospects. By 2050, Europe’s population structure will look markedly different:

    • The share of people aged 85+ will more than double, reaching around 10% of the population.
    • The workforce is expected to shrink by 12%—equivalent to roughly 25 million people.
    • The EU will have over 3 million fewer young people under 20, reducing the talent pool entering education and research.

    These shifts raise fundamental questions for the future of Europe’s R&I landscape. To address them, DG Research & Innovation commmissioned a study “The Demographic Turn: Actions Needed for Research, Innovation and Policy in Europe”, which explores possible futures for Europe's R&I system and highlights how demographic pressure could become a driver of renewal and transformation. 

    The study delivers:

    • Background data showing a shrinking youth population, a declining workforce, and growing fiscal pressures on R&I funding.
    • A six-step foresight approach combining horizon scanning, scenario-building, and windtunneling to anticipate future challenges.
    • Four Scenarios illustrating different pathways for Europe’s R&I system.
    • Strategic actions to protect fundamental research, enable lifelong learning, strengthen regional innovation, and build societal trust in technology

    A comprehensive version of the study is available for download at the bottom the page. It presents a detailed overview of the methodological framework (including desk research, stakeholder mapping, workshop design, and data collection and analysis) along with the corresponding data and survey findings. 


    Posted on: 25/09/2025

    Last Edited: a year ago

    Accreditation Services1

    Foresight Programs and Courses

    The World Futures Studies Federation offers its standards to institutions interested in achieving accreditation in futures studies. Institutions offering programmes which meet the Federation’s standards will be credentialed as an Accredited Foresight Programme. Accreditation will extend for a period of five (5) years. Review of accreditation will be available every five (5) years to ensure programmes continue to maintain high quality standards of the Federation.


    We provide accreditation only to education providers that have been recognized by the relevant department or ministry of education in their country as a tertiary education provider.

    How To Apply: https://wfsf.org/accreditation-services/ 

    Posted on: 11/09/2025

    Last Edited: a year ago

    Oliver Gnad1

    Changing Minds – Creating Futures

    Posted on: 28/07/2025

    Last Edited: a year ago

    Tackling societal challenges and guiding the future of research and innovation in Norway1

    What was the challenge?

    The Research Council of Norway (RCN) identified five strategic areas in pursuit of ground-breaking research, radical innovation and sustainable development. RCN required a robust evidence base to help develop long-term, priority missions to help solve one or more societal challenges, as well as underpinning structural measures of the research environment in Norway. The five strategic areas include: Oceans; Green transition; Health and welfare; Cohesion and globalisation; and Technology and digitalisation.

    How did we approach it?

    We adopted a mixed method, participatory approach involving a variety of research tools such as trend analyses, literature reviews, stakeholder interviews, focus groups, crowdsourcing ideas from experts, a survey of the public, future scenario analyses and workshops.

    The core foresight work allowed us to examine what might happen in the next ten years in the different strategic areas and wider R&I system in Norway. Scenarios of future states were used as the basis for workshop discussions to stress test potential missions and structural measures that the RCN could consider developing and implementing in the future.

    What was the outcome or impact of the work?

    Extensive findings from this research were published in a series of nine reports. The research was cited as evidence in the RCN’s input to the 2022 revision of the Long-Term Plan for Research and Higher Education 2019–2028, which specifies the Norwegian government’s ambitions, key objectives and priority areas for research and higher education.

    The study also helped inform the RCN’s internal decision making, strategies and organisational activities. In addition, a summary of the findings and proposals was presented to the relevant Norwegian minister.

    Project webpage: https://www.rand.org/randeurope/research/projects/2021/future-research-innovation-norway.html 

    Research outputs:

    • Summary report: https://www.rand.org/content/dam/rand/pubs/research_reports/RRA900/RRA966-1/RAND_RRA966-1.pdf 
    • Addressing future societal challenges in Norway: Detailed methodology report: https://www.rand.org/content/dam/rand/pubs/research_reports/RRA900/RRA966-1/RAND_RRA966-2.pdf
    • A summary of potential cross-cutting missions to address future societal challenges in Norway: https://www.rand.org/content/dam/rand/pubs/research_reports/RRA900/RRA966-1/RAND_RRA966-3.pdf

      Structural measures to develop a resilient research and innovation environment in Norway: https://www.rand.org/content/dam/rand/pubs/research_reports/RRA900/RRA966-1/RAND_RRA966-4.pdf

      Health and welfare: An analysis of trends, future directions and potential missions to address societal challenges in Norway: https://www.rand.org/content/dam/rand/pubs/research_reports/RRA900/RRA966-1/RAND_RRA966-5.pdf

      Oceans: An analysis of trends, future directions and potential missions to address societal challenges in Norway: https://www.rand.org/content/dam/rand/pubs/research_reports/RRA900/RRA966-1/RAND_RRA966-6.pdf

      Technology and digitalisation: An analysis of trends, future directions and potential missions to address societal challenges in Norway: https://www.rand.org/content/dam/rand/pubs/research_reports/RRA900/RRA966-1/RAND_RRA966-7.pdf

      Cohesion and globalisation: An analysis of trends, future directions and potential missions to address societal challenges in Norway: https://www.rand.org/content/dam/rand/pubs/research_reports/RRA900/RRA966-1/RAND_RRA966-8.pdf

      Green transition: An analysis of trends, future directions and potential missions to address societal challenges in Norway: https://www.rand.org/content/dam/rand/pubs/research_reports/RRA900/RRA966-1/RAND_RRA966-9.pdf

    Posted on: 18/06/2025

    Last Edited: a year ago

    Dr. Matthew J. Spaniol1

    Senior Researcher at Roskilde University

    Posted on: 28/05/2025

    Last Edited: a year ago

    Elena Aminova1

    I will know how

    Posted on: 09/05/2025

    Last Edited: a year ago

    Foresight and Policy: Future-Proofing the Assumptions Behind Policies for a Greener EuropeFebruary 2025

    Insights into Circular Economy, Clean Air, Transport and Bioeconomy Policies

    This report offers an in-depth foresight assessment that critically evaluates and questions the foundational assumptions of European environmental policies related to the Green Deal. To enhance the resilience of these frameworks, the two-year study utilises a comprehensive set of methods, including impact wheel analysis, Ishikawa diagrams, cross-impact analysis, semi-structured interviews, and causal layered analysis. This approach reveals the cascading effects, entrenched cognitive biases, and intricate interdependencies present in policy design. These techniques facilitate a detailed examination of specific policy areas while providing a systemic perspective on how the connections among circular economy, bioeconomy, clean air and health, and the decarbonisation of transport impact overall sustainability results. By harnessing these diverse foresight techniques, the assessment reveals that conventional policy narratives are often oversimplified, obscuring risks and trade-offs that, if unchallenged, may impede a successful transition to a sustainable Europe. The impact wheel and Ishikawa diagrams facilitate the structured identification of primary and secondary effects, while the cross-impact analysis maps the interactive dynamics between assumptions. Semi-structured interviews provide nuanced stakeholder perspectives that uncover underlying worldviews and metaphors shaping policy discourse when synthesised via causal layered analysis. The study offers actionable recommendations for enhancing policy resilience, promoting integrated governance, and fostering adaptive strategies capable of addressing the multipronged challenges posed by environmental uncertainty.

    Source: Eionet - ETCs- ETC Sustainability transitions (ETC ST) - Products  

    Posted on: 30/04/2025

    Last Edited: a year ago

    Foresight Study on Fishers of the FutureNovember 2024

    Final Report

    The study represents the Commission’s commitment, outlined in its 2023 Communication on the functioning of the Common Fisheries Policy (CFP), to address emerging challenges in the sector. It aligns with the Commission's definition of foresight as “the discipline of exploring, anticipating, and shaping the future to inform today’s decision-making.” This participatory study places fishers at its core, integrating their perspectives into the development of future scenarios and fisher profiles to inform strategic policymaking for a sustainable, competitive and resilient EU fishing sector, as part of the wider blue economy. It does not present policy proposals, which was never the intention, rather it serves to stimulate further the important debate on securing and giving a perspective on the future of EU fishers.

    European Commission: European Climate, Infrastructure and Environment Executive Agency, F&S, IPSOS, POSEIDON, Tetra Tech, Davies, M., Macfadyen, G., Brugere, C., Chiarelli, N., Dale, F.Caillart, B., Foresight study on fishers of the future – Final report , Publications Office of the European Union, 2024;

    Posted on: 15/04/2025

    Last Edited: a year ago

    Designing the next European Framework Programme for research and innovation1September 2024 - February 2025

    Context of the study
    The European Framework Programme (FP) for Research and Innovation is pivotal in addressing the goals of the European Union, by providing essential funding to drive forward the EU’s research and innovation agenda, aligning with the broader policy objectives of sustainability and climate neutrality. The discussion concerning the development of FP10 revolve around the need to either incrementally refine its existing structure, or to fundamentally transform the framework programme structure in order to make a more impactful FP. Advocates for a major overhaul argue for comprehensive changes to address new global challenges, a declining competitiveness, and the need to align with Europe's strategic goals. On the other hand, proponents of gradual improvement suggest building upon the current system, emphasising continuity and simplification to enhance effectiveness without causing significant disruption. The goal of this study is to develop and assess high-level designs for the EU’s next FP (Hypothetical Programme Structures, HPS), considering the identified geo-political, societal, and economic challenges as well as expected impacts of major technological developments.

    Study approach
    The study undertakes a forward-looking analysis, based on alternative scenarios for Europe and its R&I landscape and exploring the structural adaptations that may be required to ensure the programme remains responsive, effective, and aligned with the EU’s strategic priorities. The figure below provides an overview of the key components of the foresight process.

    A key component of the methodology is the series of three foresight workshops with more than 35 stakeholders representing EU R&I stakeholders (university networks, RTOs, private sector companies, NCPs, policymakers, civil society representatives etc.). During the workshops, the participants discussed the main challenges of the FP and identified solutions. Moreover, they made use of the future scenarios developed by the study team, to reflect upon potential implications societal, economic, and environmental trends these scenarios might have on the focus and structure of FP10. Based on this input and an analysis of relevant reports (e.g. FP evaluations and studies, high level reports from Draghi, Letta, Heitor and Niinistö, stakeholder position papers, case studies on selected national R&I programmes) pros and cons of both the evolutionary and disruptive approaches in selected scenarios and their impact on the EU’s R&I landscape and FP structure were formulated.
    The study presents a set of hypothetical programme structures (HPS) that meet the different scenario settings. Each HPS “tells a different story” about the objectives and means of intervening in the EU R&I landscape. In the context of this study, we understand the HPS as a narrative description as comprising two main elements: 

    • The overarching objectives of the programme – defining its fundamental purpose and strategic intent.
    • The main components of the programme – outlining the broad pillars or themes that guide research investments.

    Based on the workshop discussions, available policy reports and examples of different programme structures at national level, a range of policy options were developed. Policy options include suggestions spanning from the management of the FP to prioritisation and thematical focus, instrument design, improved coordination within the FP, or governance mechanisms to ensure that the FP remains effective under different conditions.

    Posted on: 10/04/2025

    Last Edited: a year ago

    LifeFactFuture1

    LFF

    About

    The LifeFactFuture (LFF) project combines world class-excellence of Finnish life science companies, technology companies and academic researchers. It seeks to enhance advanced pharmaceutical and life science manufacturing in Finland.

    The LFF consortium includes research teams at the University of Turku and the University of Helsinki, as well as some of Finland’s leading life science manufacturers, data and technology companies. The goal of the project collaboration is to speed up the introduction of digital solutions and more efficient utilization of data and to make Finland the most attractive place in the world for investments in data-driven life science manufacturing.

    Current global vendors for pharmaceutical manufacturing are not able to provide the critical future data capabilities already identified by the sector in Finland. The data-driven capabilities offered by life science manufacturing vendors are assessed as less mature than similar solutions for other manufacturing sectors such as the automotive industry.

    If Finland becomes the lighthouse for exploiting new data-driven capabilities in advanced life sciences manufacturing, new billion-euro export opportunities are on the horizon. The export potential is considerable within the life science sector itself as well as within technology industry companies supplying the life science sector with data-driven capabilities.

    LFF is designed to fulfill the following objectives:

    World-class, interdisciplinary research published in high-level journals.
    Map the transformative potential of data-driven capabilities in pharmaceutical manufacturing.
    Facilitate the design and adoption of regulatory practices in favor of agile/adaptive manufacturing.
    Support the development of technology Proofs of Concept advancing data-driven life science manufacturing.
    Progress made in developing sustainable business competencies in digital production environment.


    The consortium is led by the Finland Futures Research Centre, University of Turku and
    funded by Business Finland during 2024–2026.

    Posted on: 08/04/2025

    Last Edited: a year ago

    ISINNOVA1

    Institute for Studies on the Integration of Systems

    Delivering solutions for a more sustainable future

    ISINNOVA provides research services and strategic consultancy to public and private actors pursuing sustainable visions, solutions, and policies.

    Five Pillars of Our Approach

    1. Anticipate – Apply systems thinking and foresight methodologies to identify emerging challenges, reveal interdependencies, and inform proactive, future-resilient strategies.

    2. Integrate – Connect disciplines, sectors, and knowledge systems to foster richer analysis and tackle complex challenges holistically.

    3. Align – Ensure research, innovation, and governance processes reflect the values, priorities, and needs of society through ethical, participatory, and responsible approaches.

    4. Co-create – Engage diverse stakeholders — researchers, policymakers, citizens, and industry — in collaborative processes to design solutions that are inclusive, relevant, and impactful.

    5. Transform – Drive systemic change by translating shared knowledge and co-created solutions into sustainable, scalable actions, supported by continuous assessment to ensure applicability, effectiveness, and long-term value.

    Track Record

    • 50+ years in the game (and counting).
    • Involved in over 130 research projects (ISINNOVA designs, develops, and manages sector-specific & cross-sector EU and global projects)
    • 15 staff members with multidisciplinary backgrounds (engineering, statistics, economics, politics, law, social sciences, computer science and media studies)

    Posted on: 03/04/2025

    Last Edited: a year ago

    VDI VDE Innovation and Technology1

    Research for Better Funding

    VDI/VDE Innovation + Technik GmbH is a leading service provider for issues related to innovation and technology. We support and advise during the analysis of complex projects or market situations, during the promotion of research programmes from the German federal government, the German state governments and the EU and organise branch offices or contact offices for research and business. As the project sponsor, we offer the suitable solution for every step of the innovation process.

    We work both domestically and abroad for our customers from politics, research, industry and finance. 1,000 employees cooperate in multi-national and interdisciplinary teams. With a total of 10 divisions and nine cross-sectional divisions, we cover a broad-based content spectrum and have at our disposal highly-qualified experts from the natural sciences, engineering, social sciences and business management.

    We are located in seven cities: Berlin, Munich, Dresden, Bonn, Hannover, Erfurt and Stuttgart. We are thus in close proximity to the customer.

    Posted on: 25/03/2025

    Last Edited: 8 months ago

    Demographic change and the future of Europe’s R&I system1November 2024 - November 2025

    Europe’s research and innovation (R&I) system is facing new challenges as demographic trends reshape societies, economies, and labour markets. With ageing populations, shifting migration patterns, and evolving skill demands, it is crucial to anticipate how these transformations will impact education, research careers, innovation ecosystems, and funding landscapes.

    DG Research & Innovation commissioned a study under the Foresight on Demand (FOD) Framework Contract to explore the implications of demographic change on the EU R&I system. By examining weak signals and trends and exploring future scenarios—including the role of emerging technologies such as AI—the study aims to identify strategic policy options to support a competitive, sustainable, and fair Europe. 

    The study provides insights to help policymakers and stakeholders design resilient R&I policies that respond effectively to demographic shifts.

    Posted on: 24/03/2025

    Last Edited: a year ago

    "The future of quantum computing: what matters now"

    Foresight study on behalf of the German Federal Ministry for Economic Affars and Climate Action

    The DLR-PT conducted a comprehensive foresight study for the BMWK to explore the current progress and challenges in quantum computing. Using DLR-PT's innovative Strategic Impact Navigation Assessment Model (SINAVI), the study employed a range of methods including trend analysis, expert interviews and multi-stage Delphi surveys. Based on these findings, DLR-PT created a forward-looking scenario for 2032 and used the backcasting method to identify key strategies for advancing quantum computing in Germany. The findings were enriched with data from an accompanying performance review of the funding initiative, for which DLR-PT was also responsible. The result was a holistic, actionable roadmap that highlights both the achievements and future potential of the funding programme.

    Posted on: 17/02/2025

    Last Edited: 6 months ago

    Suzanne Whitby1

    Urban "futurer", co-creating hopeful, sustainable futures. | Experiential, embodied futures | Democratising futures | Citizen "activation"

    Posted on: 02/02/2025

    Last Edited: a year ago

    Scenarios for the future of school education in the EUSeptember 2023

    A Foresight Study

    The foresight study focused on school education (ISCED levels 1-3) in the EU. It aimed at:

    • developing four scenarios, describing potential alternative futures of the school education in the EUby 2040.
    • identifying the preferred scenario developments.
    • providing recommendations on the policy measures that could be introduced, or strengthened, tohelp school education in the EU move towards the preferred future scenario.

    The development of the scenarios was based on the factors of change1, identified through desk research, horizon scanning, and extensive stakeholder involvement. More than 80 European Commission officials, school education experts, representatives of teacher, student and headmaster umbrella organisations, and other stakeholders, from across the EU, contributed to the study, by participating in four workshops, a Delphi survey, and interviews.

    Posted on: 29/01/2025

    Last Edited: a year ago

    Mission Area: Adaptation to Climate Change, Including Societal TransformationJuly 2021

    Foresight on Demand Brief in Support of the Horizon Europe Mission Board

    This final report summarises the results of the actions to support the Mission Board for “Adaptation to Climate Change, including Societal Transformation” with forward-looking evidence.

    In accordance with the Request, the proposed services, approaches to be adopted, and the concrete nature and form of the outputs have been shaped and validated through close interaction with the Mission Board (MB) via the Mission Secretariat, run by relevant European Commission (EC) services, throughout the implementation of the action.

    As a result of the interactions with the Mission Secretariat, the following actions were taken:

    1. Preparing a short paper Input to Mission Board on scoping activities & tasks
      (Deliverable 1)
    2. Analysing national and regional funding programmes of selected countries for
      projects on Climate Change Adaptation, and conducting interviews with selected
      Mission Board members in preparation of a foresight workshop.
    3. Preparing an input paper for the foresight workshop Input Document FoD CCA
      Workshop, 23 January 2020 (Deliverable 2).
    4. Holding a foresight workshop (23 January 2020) with Mission Board members,
      European Commission representatives (Mission Secretariat), and foresight experts,
      and summarising the results of the workshop. The workshop served to identify
      barriers and solutions, enablers and impacts of climate change adaptation in a variety
      of thematic fields, including health, water, food and agriculture.
    5. Developing and implementing a Delphi survey on assessing key aspects of the draft
      paper of the Mission Board. The survey addressed climate experts. They assessed
      future targets in thematic fields (e.g. financial risks, health, social infrastructure), and
      ranked related measures and R&I fields for importance.
    6. Preparing and analysing the results of the Delphi survey: Delphi Survey results,
      July/August 2020 (Deliverables 3 and 4).

    The report is structured along these deliverables.

    Posted on: 20/01/2025

    Last Edited: a year ago

    FOD Climate1September 2019 - September 2020

    Support to the Mission Board on 'Adaption to Climate Change including Societal Transformation in Horizon Europe'

    The foresight project “Adaptation to Climate Change including Societal Transformation” (Framework Contract 2018/RTD/A2/OP/PP-07001-2018-LOT1) was meant to complement the Mission Boards’ deep and wide-ranging expertise by exploring longer-term time horizons, up to and beyond the year 2050. Building on existing future-oriented work, the project employed dedicated foresight methods, in particular workshops and a Delphi survey, to explore this time horizon in a systematic manner, and involving experts and stakeholders as appropriate.

    Climate Adaptation refers to anticipating the adverse effects of climate change and taking appropriate action to prevent or minimise the damage they can cause, or taking advantage of opportunities that may arise. It has been shown that well-planned, early adaptation action later saves money, lives, livelihoods, and biodiversity.

    The foresight was based on the European Commission (EC) White Paper “Adapting to climate change: Towards a European framework for action” of 2009, and on the EU climate adaptation strategy adopted in 2013. At the time of the formulation of this strategy, the economic, environmental, and social costs of not adapting to climate change were estimated to range from 100 billion € a year in 2020 to 250 billion € a year in 2050, for the EU as a whole. Meanwhile, the EC in February 2021 elaborated and adopted a new climate adaptation strategy, which focuses on developing solutions and implementation of adaptation measures.

    Research directions: Climate change adaptation (CCA) including societal transformation covers a broad range of areas, such as agriculture, dealing with water resources, disaster prevention, migration flows, security issues, behaviour changes, urban areas, industry and trade relations, transforming the energy system and transportation. The thematic scope of the foresight exercise was defined in close collaboration with the Mission Board (MB) through the Mission Board Secretariat. Consequently, the Delphi survey implemented in summer 2020 was used to assess elements of the interim MB report, in particular items around risk management, financial risk protection, social infrastructure, health, water, food/agriculture, and ecosystems. All the work fed into the final report of the Mission Board “A Climate Resilient Europe - Prepare Europe for climate disruptions and accelerate the transformation to a climate resilient and just Europe by 2030” (2020).

    Posted on: 20/01/2025

    Last Edited: a year ago

    "The future of quantum computing: what matters now"1

    Foresight study on behalf of the German Federal Ministry for Economic Affars and Climate Action

    The DLR-PT conducted a comprehensive foresight study for the BMWK to explore the current progress and challenges in quantum computing. Using DLR-PT's innovative Strategic Impact Navigation Assessment Model (SINAVI), the study employed a range of methods including trend analysis, expert interviews and multi-stage Delphi surveys. Based on these findings, DLR-PT created a forward-looking scenario for 2032 and used the backcasting method to identify key strategies for advancing quantum computing in Germany. The findings were enriched with data from an accompanying performance review of the funding initiative, for which DLR-PT was also responsible. The result was a holistic, actionable roadmap that highlights both the achievements and future potential of the funding programme.

    Posted on: 13/01/2025

    Last Edited: a year ago

    CIRCADIA1August 2021 - December 2023

    The circadian rhythm - essential for our survival, often neglected

    Humans have internal clocks that clock vital biological rhythms. These are innate, but can be positively or negatively influenced by the environment. Daily rhythms are regulated by the “circadian system” (the internal clock).
    The circadian system is inextricably linked to the regulation of the sleep-wake rhythm. Disruptions to the circadian system can therefore cause sleep disorders and associated cognitive impairment as well as various health problems. 

    How do we humans influence our future by neglecting these rhythms? And what can we individually or as an organisation do to support our rhythmic life? Currently, we are de-synchronising ourselves, our organs and our lives... we are on an unhealthy way. What we need is a future chronobiologically enlightened society. 3 Policy Briefs and a final report describe the state of the art of our knowledge and many options for the future.

    Posted on: 11/01/2025

    Last Edited: a year ago

    Strenthening foresight and the role of future generations in Finnish lawmakingOctober 2022

    POLICY BRIEF 2022:33

    This is the short English-language Policy Brief from the research project Foresight and Future Generations in Law-Making (FORGE). FORGE examined issues of future-regarding lawmaking in an interdisciplinary manner, combining expertise on futures studies, political science, and jurisprudence. The aim of the study was to analyse the status of future generations and their rights in current legislative processes, and to map and compare practices for foresight and consideration of future generations in different political contexts, nationally and internationally. The purpose of the project was to increase understanding on i) how future generations can be better taken into account in policymaking; ii) how foresight can be better utilised in lawmaking. 

    The FORGE-project was unique – there had not previously been a study with a similar scope in Finland and comparable international examples are, to the best knowledge of the authors, extremely rare. FORGE supported the preparation of the second part
    of the Government Report on the Future. The project was funded by the Government’s analysis, assessment and research activities (VN TEAS) and was conducted during 1/2022–11/2022 by researchers of the University of Turku, Åbo Akademi University and Tampere University.

    Findings:

    From an international comparison, Finland already has an advanced national foresight system and can be regarded as a pioneer in futureregarding policymaking. However, there is still room for improvement in terms of using foresight and considering future generations as a part of lawmaking. Such improvement could be achieved by developing and upgrading the existing institutions and practices and by making more incremental changes in practices, modes of interaction, and attitudes. For example, foresight should be conducted more as a continuous activity, and future generations’ interests and rights should be considered more systematically in legislative processes, while acknowledging the plurality of future interests.

    Development proposals:

    Full lenght-report available in Finnish

    In addition to the 12-page Policy Brief summarising the FORGE projects' finding in English, The Prime Minister's Office has published the full 203-page report in Finnish. This can be found here below.

    Posted on: 08/01/2025

    Last Edited: a year ago

    FORGE1December 2021 - October 2022

    Foresight and Future Generations in Finnish Lawmaking

    The research project Foresight and Future Generations in Law-Making (FORGE) examined issues of future-regarding lawmaking in an interdisciplinary manner, combining expertise on futures studies, political science, and jurisprudence. The aim of the study was to analyse the status of future generations and their rights in current legislative processes, and to map and compare practices for foresight and consideration of future generations in different political contexts, nationally and internationally. The purpose of the project was to increase understanding on i) how future generations can be better taken into account in policymaking; ii) how foresight can be better utilised in lawmaking. FORGE’s conceptual and analytical structure is pictured in the figure 1.

    The FORGE-project is unique – there has not previously been a study with a similar scope in Finland and comparable international examples are, to the best knowledge of the authors, extremely rare. FORGE supported the preparation of the second part of the Government Report on the Future. The project was funded by the Government’s analysis, assessment and research activities (VN TEAS) and was conducted during 1/2022–11/2022 by researchers of the University of Turku, Åbo Akademi University and Tampere University.

    Posted on: 08/01/2025

    Last Edited: a year ago

    Kevin Fox1

    Posted on: 07/01/2025

    Last Edited: a year ago

    FOSTER1August 2022 - July 2026

    Fostering Food System Transformation by Integrating Heterogeneous Perspectives in Knowledge and Innovation within the ERA

    The vision of FOSTER is to build a foundation from which a new Knowledge and Innovation System (KIS) for Europe’s food system can emerge. The current structure is insufficient to address the emerging challenges of nourishing people in a healthy and sustainable way. Key objective is to gain insights into how it can be built to be more inclusive and better governed. 

    FOSTER shall help to transform Europe’s food system outcomes and will achieve this by: 

    • building a FOSTER Platform including food system-state of the art knowledge, foresight by semi-automated Horizon scanning, trend and threats-analysis and new multi-dimensional scenarios of EU food systems to 2040; 
    • implementing the FOSTER Academy – including four Summer Schools – for integrating food system-related disciplines and citizen science to enhance food system understanding across the ERA; 
    • initiating and assessing a co-creation and co-learning process within six national resp. regional Citizen Driven Initiatives (CDIs), in which new knowledge, strategies and Action Research Agendas are gained; 
    • scaling out and deep CDIs solutions and approaches to other territorial contexts; 
    • studying different R&I mechanisms of policy support for mission-oriented R&I policy for food systems transformation, and analysing and ground-proofing them in each CDI; 
    • strengthening science-policy interfaces by co-learning processes with external experts and developing recommendations for food systems R&I policies tailored to different geographies and sectors; 
    • identifying the trigger points to help ‘unlock’ system lock-ins and support further dynamics towards system transformation; 
    • and applying reflective monitoring on all FOSTER’s co-learning activities to develop insights into how the KIS can be broadened from an agricultural-KIS to a food system-KIS.

    To inspire adoption of FOSTER learnings, over 20 workshops and a final conference will be conducted; scientific position papers and policy briefs will be widely communicated. 

    Posted on: 09/12/2024

    Last Edited: 3 days ago

    Miquel Banchs-Piqué1

    Better late than never

    Posted on: 09/12/2024

    Last Edited: a year ago

    Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia (FCT)1

    Foundation for Science and Technology

    Posted on: 04/12/2024

    Last Edited: a year ago

    Arctik1

    Communication for sustainability

    Arctik is a Brussels-based communications agency recognised for its strategic and creative communication capacity in the field of sustainability. Arctik develops tailored public relations and communication strategies that take both objectives and resulting impact into account. We facilitate the creation of communities and networks that contribute towards circulating content, whilst cultivating meaningful dialogues and synergies between influencers and decision-makers.

    Arctik has substantial experience in designing and implementing communication campaigns and projects which mix creative communication and sustainability. We believe in communication campaigns which provide a setting where opportunities are created, and knowledge is shared between actors. It is an occasion to convey a message and collect insights and intelligence.
    Our team has a strong commitment to sustainability. We incorporate sustainable values into operations Arctik has substantial experience in designing and implementing communication campaigns and projects which mix creative communication and sustainability. We believe in communication campaigns which provide a setting where opportunities are created, and knowledge is shared between actors. It is an occasion to convey a message and collect insights and intelligence. and consider environmental and social factors in every business decision, while encouraging our partners and clients to think circular! Arctik is also registered to obtain the Brussels ‘Enterprise ecodynamique’ label. 

    Arctik, as part of Technopolis Group is present in more than 10 countries with 300 consultants originating from +45 countries and speaking +30 languages. This diversity offers a unique perspective on what local-level stakeholders are receptive to. 

    Our offices are located in : • Austria • Belgium • Colombia • France • Germany • Ivory Coast • Netherlands • Greece • Portugal • Sweden • Ivory Cost • Colombia • United Kingdom.

    Our solutions: Strategy • Messaging and copywriting • Online and offline engagement • Thought-provoking design • Web services • Project Management • Video and animation • Data-driven communication • Events • Social media campaigns & monitoring • Knowledge management and Capitalisation • Media and visibility.

    Our expertise: Regional Policy, Circular Economy, Climate Services, Education, Entrepreneurship, Science & Innovation.

    Arctik is part of Technopolis |group|
    Website www.arctik.eu
    LinkedIn linkedin.com/company/arctik/
    Bluesky bsky.app/profile/arctik.eu 

    Posted on: 27/11/2024

    Last Edited: a year ago

    Foresight for Social Innovation1December 2022 - March 2023

    We implemented the ForSI (Foresight for Social Innovation) project with the Ministry of Labour and Social Affairs, with the Unit of Social Innovation. The aim of this collaboration was to identify so-called social time bombs - in our definition, problems that will be significant in the future or are already known today, but not yet sufficiently addressed by the state administration. 

    The learning process itself was also a framing goal of this collaboration, where the unit team wanted to learn some foresight methods and implement them into certain processes of the department's work. The project involved desk research, two expert workshops, expert interviews, and also working closely with leading experts on social issues to develop a set of social issue cards. The final list of social time bombs was used by the unit to define calls for grant programs for nonprofits seeking to address diverse problems through social innovation. Foresight was thus used in this case to direct public funds more effectively, thereby addressing the problems that need to be focused on with an eye to the future.

    https://www.ceskepriority.cz/foresight#co_je_foresight

    Posted on: 26/10/2024